Flit

We're back in business, baby

It is getting increasingly difficult to come up with a plausible scenario that doesn't result in the significant deployment of either UN or other international coalition forces to Libya in the near-to-medium (within one year) term. IPB time...

UPDATE: A couple very smart people have emailed to take a contrary opinion. I respect all the really good points they've made, but I'm going to stick to my guns on this one a little bit longer. Unlike in Egypt, we're talking a crazy man with a lot of oil (of interest to the West) and therefore a lot of money. He's not going to leave of his own volition, and there's a lot of people willing to stick by him so long as that money holds out. I've soured personally on Martin/Graham "R2P" doctrine, largely for the same reasons Sullivan identifies here, but if this had happened before 2003 and Iraq I think there'd be no question that some kind of military action would have been called for at the UNSC days ago.

UPDATE, March 18: Ahem.